The Wrong Test: “Not American” Is Not A Sovereignty Standard

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TL;DR

Europe’s shift in sovereignty assessment from ‘incorporated in the EU’ to ‘not American’ overlooks complex legal and geopolitical factors. Canada’s legal protections and data status challenge this simplified view.

European policymakers have implicitly shifted their sovereignty assessment criteria, now relying on whether a company is ‘not American’ rather than its legal or operational compliance. This shift highlights the complexities involved. This change, while seemingly straightforward, masks complex legal realities and geopolitical considerations, especially regarding data protection and national security.

Recent statements in Europe suggest a de facto standard where a company’s nationality—specifically, whether it is American—is used as a proxy for sovereignty and legal compliance. This approach gained prominence after European officials highlighted that Canadian-incorporated AI firm Cohere, which is not subject to the US CLOUD Act, might be viewed differently from US-based providers like Amazon or Microsoft.

Legal analysis confirms that the CLOUD Act applies only to US-incorporated entities and their subsidiaries, not Canadian companies. Canada has not signed a bilateral CLOUD Act agreement, and its courts have explicitly rejected US third-party doctrine principles, making US data access standards less applicable to Canadian firms. Furthermore, Canada’s data protections, such as those under PIPEDA and the Supreme Court’s rulings, are more restrictive than US laws, especially concerning foreign data and surveillance.

Despite the legal distinctions, the European stance appears to conflate nationality with sovereignty, effectively using ‘not American’ as a shortcut for legal and operational independence. This shift has implications for procurement, trade, and the regulation of AI and data services, as it simplifies complex legal realities into a binary classification.

At a glance
analysisWhen: developing; recent press conference and…
The developmentEuropean policymakers are increasingly using ‘not American’ as a sovereignty test for AI and data providers, but this approach is based on a proxy that fails at legal and operational edges.
The Wrong Test — Reality Check
AI Dispatch · Reality Check · 16 July 2026

The wrong test: “not American” is not a sovereignty standard

In one press conference, European sovereignty changed definition — from “incorporated in the EU” to “not incorporated in the US” — and nobody asked whether the second is a test or merely a proxy. It’s a proxy. Proxies fail at the edges. The edges are where procurement lives.

✓ First, what’s true — the Canadian case is stronger than critics allow

The CLOUD Act genuinely doesn’t reach Canadian incorporation. Canada has no CLOUD Act executive agreement — negotiating since March 2022, nothing finalized. And the Supreme Court of Canada (R. v. Spencer, R. v. Bykovets) explicitly rejected the US third-party doctrine. On several dimensions Canada is more protective than the US. This is not a hit piece.

The Five Eyes fact, stated precisely

UKUSA (1946): NSA · GCHQ · CSE · ASD · GCSB. CSE’s oversight is real — ministerial authorization, an independent Intelligence Commissioner (a retired judge) who can block, NSIRA review. Now read the operative restriction:

“CSE is prohibited by law from targeting the private information of Canadians, or any person in Canada.”

The protection is national and territorial. Europeans are neither.

Not an accusation — architecture. It’s structurally why Safe Harbor fell: protections protect the home nationals.

The adequacy gap nobody mentions

Canada has adequacy since 2001/2002 (Decision 2002/2/EC). But its scope is PIPEDA-only — employee data largely excluded; Alberta/BC/Quebec regimes never got adequacy; Quebec’s was withdrawn in 2014.

It was assessed against PIPEDA’s commercial framework — not against Canada’s intelligence laws or Five Eyes participation.

That’s the same hole the CJEU punched through Safe Harbor. In fairness: the Commission did examine public-authority access and found redress “accessible to non-Canadian nationals.” That clause is the best argument Canada has — and NSIRA is largely classified. Unsettled, not resolved.

⚠ The nexus problem — incorporation is not the test

US courts have been clear for 40 years: Bank of Nova Scotia — American courts enforce subpoenas against entities subject to US jurisdiction even where compliance violates foreign law, and fine for refusal. Jurisdiction attaches to presence and activity, not the incorporation certificate. So corporate pledges to “resist” are sincere and legally insufficient. And Canadian exposure creeps through ordinary commercial expansion:

BCE bought Ziply Fiber (US) Aug ’25 TELUS — 1,600+ US staff Shopify — 57% of txns in US; NY principal executive office None changed nationality. All changed nexus. So: what US nexus does Cohere have? Customers · ops · Microsoft partnership · US investors · a likely US listing. Nobody has asked.
The honest hierarchy — three standards, ranked by what they actually protect
✕ A proxy
“Not American”
Fails on nexus, fails on Five Eyes statutory architecture, fails when the ally’s interests diverge — and fails silently, because nobody’s measuring. This is what Europe just adopted.
◐ A test
“EU-incorporated”
SecNumCloud’s 24%/39% cap — narrow, arithmetic, checkable from a shareholder register. Also undeniably protectionist. Both true. What Europe already had — and just stepped back from.
✓ An architecture
Open weights · your keys · air-gappable
Requires trusting no jurisdiction, no ally, no election result, no executive directive. The only posture that survives every question below.
Europe just moved from the second to the first — and called it progress.
✓ The right test — enforceable, auditable control
1Who can compel you, under what standard, with what judicial review?
2Is there redress for a non-national? (US–UK/AU deals create none)
3What’s your nexus — not your incorporation?
4Who holds the keys, and can they be compelled to produce them?
5Can you leave, and how fast? (12–18 months of exit work)
6Can it be air-gapped?
Notice what happens down the list: the questions stop being about jurisdiction and start being about architecture. That’s not an accident — that’s the finding.
The take

The Five Eyes question isn’t “is Canada spying for America” — that’s the tabloid version, it’s unsupported, and it’s a distraction. The real question is duller and more damaging: why is Europe using nationality as a substitute for measurement? Because a proxy is cheap and a test is expensive. “Not American” lets you approve the deal, satisfy the minister, and skip the register, the nexus, the redress. It produces a press release. It does not produce protection. Every sovereignty claim here is a jurisdictional bet — that a legal system, an alliance and a political mood hold for the life of your data. The Canadian bet is genuinely better than the American one. It’s still a bet. The only positions that don’t require one are where you hold the weights and can pull the plug. If the answer is “well, they’re not American” — you haven’t been given a standard. You’ve been given a mood.

Sources: CSE’s own published material (UKUSA, mandate, Intelligence Commissioner, NSIRA, the targeting prohibition); IAPP, CIGI, Dentons, McMillan (Canada’s adequacy scope, PIPEDA limits, Quebec 2014); Barry Appleton, “Whose Law Governs Canadian Data?” (Balsillie Papers/SSRN 2026) & Citizen Lab Feb 2025 (Spencer/Bykovets, stalled CLOUD Act talks, Bank of Nova Scotia, UK’s 20,000+ requests, remedial no-man’s land, BCE/TELUS/Shopify nexus, US NSS & AI Action Plan). Some Five Eyes/GDPR analysis in circulation originates with vendors selling EU-hosted alternatives — read accordingly. Procurement & policy analysis, not an allegation of misconduct. Not legal advice.
thorstenmeyerai.com

Implications of Using ‘Not American’ as a Sovereignty Proxy

This development matters because it influences European procurement policies and international data flow standards. By adopting ‘not American’ as a sovereignty criterion, Europe may inadvertently overlook the nuanced legal protections and operational realities of foreign companies, especially those from Canada and other allies. It risks creating a simplified, potentially misleading framework that could affect trust, security, and legal compliance in AI and data ecosystems.

Such a proxy-based approach might also lead to misjudgments in security assessments, procurement decisions, and international cooperation, as it neglects the detailed legal and oversight structures that govern data and intelligence sharing. It underscores the importance of precise, measurement-based standards over broad nationality-based proxies.

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Legal and Geopolitical Foundations of Data Sovereignty

The legal landscape surrounding data sovereignty is complex. The CLOUD Act, enacted in 2018, compels US-based providers to disclose data to US authorities, but only applies to US-incorporated entities and their subsidiaries. Canada, by contrast, has not signed a CLOUD Act agreement with the US, and its Supreme Court has rejected the US third-party doctrine, affirming that data handed to service providers retains constitutional protections.

Canada’s data protections, such as PIPEDA, and its oversight mechanisms, including the role of the independent Intelligence Commissioner and review by NSIRA, create a legal environment that is more restrictive than US law. Canada’s status as a Five Eyes partner further complicates the narrative, as it shares intelligence with allies under strict legal and oversight frameworks, with clear restrictions on targeting Canadians or residents in Canada.

Europe’s reliance on the ‘not American’ proxy emerged amid broader debates about AI sovereignty and data security, but this approach overlooks the detailed legal distinctions that define actual sovereignty and operational independence in digital spaces.

“CSE does not target Canadians or anyone in Canada, and our oversight mechanisms are among the most rigorous in the world.”

— CSE official

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Legal and Political Risks of the ‘Not American’ Standard

It remains unclear how European policymakers will reconcile their reliance on the ‘not American’ proxy with the complex legal realities of data sovereignty. There is ongoing debate about whether this approach will be formalized into policy or remain a de facto standard, and how it might impact international data sharing and security cooperation.

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Potential Policy Shifts and International Negotiations

European authorities are expected to clarify or formalize their sovereignty criteria in upcoming regulations or procurement policies. Meanwhile, Canada and other allies may continue to advocate for measurement-based standards rooted in legal realities, potentially leading to negotiations or adjustments in international data agreements. The debate over sovereignty proxies is likely to influence global AI and data governance frameworks in the coming months.

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Key Questions

Why does Europe consider ‘not American’ as a sovereignty measure?

Europe has adopted this proxy to simplify sovereignty assessments, believing that US laws like the CLOUD Act pose unique risks. However, this approach overlooks legal distinctions and the protections offered by non-US jurisdictions like Canada.

Is Canada truly less subject to US data laws than US companies?

Yes. Canada’s legal framework explicitly limits US access to Canadian data, and Canada has not signed a CLOUD Act agreement. Its courts have also rejected US legal principles that would allow easier data access.

Could this ‘not American’ standard impact international AI procurement?

Yes. It may lead to biased or simplified assessments that overlook actual legal protections, potentially affecting trust and security in AI supply chains.

What are the risks of relying on nationality as a proxy for sovereignty?

This approach risks misjudging legal protections, oversight, and operational independence, leading to flawed security and compliance assessments.

Source: ThorstenMeyerAI.com

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